NPP race: C-SADI UK survey says Bawumia’ll win super delegates race by 72%

In a recent survey conducted by Outcomes International Ghana and the Center for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK, Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is projected to emerge victorious in the special delegates’ elections of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) with a commanding 72.6% lead.

The study, which aimed to predict the qualifying candidates for the NPP presidential primaries scheduled for November 4, 2023, also delved into socio-demographic factors influencing the election outcome.

Results of the survey place Dr. Bawumia ahead of his contenders, with Alan Kyerematen following at 7.7%, Ken Agyapong securing the third position with 4.3%, Kwabena Agyepong in fourth place with 1.8%, and Dr. Owusu Akoto in fifth place with 0.6%.

The remaining five candidates collectively obtained 1.3% of the votes, while 11.7% of the respondents remained undecided.

The survey was conducted across all 16 regions of the country, targeting 300 NPP special delegates out of the total 961 voters in the electoral college.

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To ensure accurate representation and minimise operational costs, the study employed a multistage probability proportional to size sampling (PPS) technique with implicit stratification.

The data collection process utilised computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) technology, obtaining insights from a diverse set of respondents.

Among those interviewed were Constituency Chairpersons (143), Regional Executive Members (103), Members of Parliament (33), Council of Elders (9), National Council Members (8), Card Bearing Ministers (3), and Past National Officers (1).

The survey not only gauged the candidates’ popularity but also explored the impact of socio-demographic factors like ethnicity, geography, and religion on their chances of success. With the NPP special delegates’ elections scheduled for August 26, these findings provide valuable insights into the dynamics that will shape the political landscape in Ghana.

Source: classfmonline.com